Best Betting Show Ever | France vs Morocco, MLB & WNBA Sharp Rundown & More!
On today's episode, Joe and Carm discuss sharp World Cup, WNBA and MLB action, predictive market betting, parlay of the day and plenty more!
00:00 INTRODUCTION
01:09 WORLD CUP UPDATE
04:31 SHARP BETS TODAY: WNBA, MLB, NBA SUMMER LEAGUE
06:47 PARLAY OF THE DAY
08:43 PREDICTIVE MARKETS: MESSI VS MBAPPE SCORING MARKET | FURTHEST ADVANCING EUROPEAN NATION MARKET
24:14 MLB RUNDOWN
26:30 WORLD CUP RUNDOWN
28:45 BEST BET OF THE DAY
Speaker 1: All right, welcome in in a very happy Thursday to you.
Now it is the best betting show ever on weed
R Talk TV. As we are back on the pitch today,
little reprieve of World Cup action yesterday, but have no fear,
we're ready to talk France and Morocco coming up, and
who better to do that with than our good friend
carmined Bianco here in the house. We've got no art
to Caesar today, but did pass along a couple of
the sharp bets here today. We'll share those with you.
Art nine nailed the two team parlay of the day
coming off of and carm we weren't able. We gave
you kudos yesterday, but you weren't on the show, but
you crushed it for us on the four Leger parlay
of the day on Tuesday, which hit and thank goodness
for the corruption that is in the World Cup and
the yellow cards came out blast in there at plus
one sixty. So we'll see if we can update that
here today. And speaking of updates, let's start with a
World Cup update here, because boy, a lot of noise
about refs and Argentina and the fix is in. How
much do we pay attention to any of that karma.
Speaker 2: Though.
Speaker 1: It is a little interesting that all the I believe
all the refs here today have are all from the
same spot in this this game with France and Morocco.
Speaker 2: But how much do you pay attention to it?
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's well the first thing you do with today's game.
It's still odd. I have to say that we're in
the quarterfinals and for France, the for the France Morocco game,
all five officials are from Argentina. It seems a little weird,
it has to, and that if France official La Texier
was the official for the Argentina game, a little odd.
But you know, listen, there's a lot of people complaining
about what happened in the Argentina and Egypt game. Listen.
Egypt played well, but they have no one to blame
but themselves. They had a two nil lead, probably about
fifteen minutes and some extra time to kill, and they
still kept sending men up the field most of the
law attacking. What were they trying to do at that point?
You don't need a third goal. They needed to do
what a lot of the African teams did, and it
is basically sit back and defend put ten guys in
the box where you don't give them room, or a
guy like MESSI to try and dribble through. Just park
the bus. In essence, park the bus, kick it out
to the sidelines. Give your guys some time to reset. Essentially,
you know, do what people hate about football, and that
is come up with the sudden. I have cramps in
my leg. I mean after eighty minutes or eighty five minutes,
I finally got cramps at the opportune time. Give your
team a breather. They could have found a way of
wasting some time the last ten minutes of that game,
or at least if you're doing that, it makes it
impossible for them to score three goals. They may get one,
but you have shortened the clock, much like in an
NBA game where you go from a fast paced game
to you take twenty four seconds off the shot clock
before you know when you're up eleven, and shorten the clock.
I'll give the opposition a chance to get back into it.
Ball possession is everything, but wasting time also is so
they have no one to blame but themselves. The foul
is a clear foul. He stepped on the guy's foot.
It is a foul. If it's a foul in the
first three minutes of the game, it's a foul in
the seventy fifth minute of the game, So you know
there's always going to be complaints. I think the officials
got it right this time around.
Speaker 1: I just thought, I mean, FIFA just doesn't do themselves
any favors.
Speaker 2: By the by scheduling.
Speaker 1: You know, an entire crew from Argentina for France and
Morocco games, so oh, by the way they happen to
be on the same side of the brackets. It's just
it's hilarious on so many different levels. There, all right,
we're going to talk about this game coming up, will
take a look here big picture as well. Calm, but
let me rattle off some of these sharp bets that
our good friend art this Caesar passed along to us.
And I'll tell you now, we've got a couple of
looks in the w NBA, if I'm not mistaken, where
the total certainly seems to have gotten a couple of
a little bit of love here. And I think it's
Indiana and Phoenix starting to see, believe it or not,
a little un under money in that one. We are
also starting to see a little bit of under money
in Seattle and Atlanta that got hit twice those two games.
Speaker 2: In the w NBA. The Summer League action NBA kicking.
Speaker 1: Off here and we are starting to see some Utah
love in the marketplace as well as the Detroit Pistons
against Philadelphia. We're starting to see a couple of bets
come in on that one.
Speaker 2: He said.
Speaker 1: Also, summer league should be an awful lot of fun
here with a whole lot of new faces for guys,
you know, number one and number.
Speaker 2: Two draft picks.
Speaker 1: I believe that's what the Utah and Washington game is.
Darren Peterson versus Divansta that should be a whole lot
of fun coming up a little bit later tonight in Vegas,
And as far as Major League Baseball goes, we are
starting to see a little and kind of hard to
but Minnesota is getting a lot of law.
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, Cleveland.
Speaker 1: Is getting a lot of love in that one. Gavin Williams,
Bailey Oberback. You just can't fade the Yankees enough, Art said,
as the Tampa Bay Rays are also getting some love
here early today. And if it ain't broke, I guess
why fix it here at this particular point. San Diago
also getting love as the market continues to fade. Merrill
Kelly apparently there art'll be back tomorrow with the UFC stuff,
more summer league stuff. He'll get you all squared away
with the sharp bets. But in the meantime, calm, we
got to keep it rolling. That is back to back
days here a four teamer and a two teamer. We
nailed the parlay of the day. So no pressure. Where
do you want to start here today with a parlay
of the day.
Speaker 3: Well, since I'm gonna be watching in the game is
at four o'clock, let's go to the France and France
and Morocco game. Two teams familiar with each other, Joe
because they played in the semifinals of the twenty twenty
two World Cup. I am taking a goal scoring prop
Ouslan den Belly plus one seventy five plus one this
seventy five on Ooseman den Belly in this one the
only goal scorer with a better price than him or
a worse price than him. Let's say is you have
to pay a dollar twenty five juice on killing and Boppe.
As he continues to fight Linel Messi, Harry Kane and
early in Holland for that golden boot board. But I
like Busman Denbell. He's got four goals in this tournament
a couple of assists, so he's right there and maybe
he finds one or two today. We'll see if that happens.
But I'll take the plus one seventy five.
Speaker 1: All right, plus one seventy five. It is their calm.
I am going to take a look at Philadelphia at
a bounce back tonight Lozarto on the mound against Brady Singer.
Cincinnati beat up Philadelphia pretty good last night. Lozardo's a
lefty and Cincinnati has hit lefties pretty well. But I
definitely think Philadelphia can go toe to toe and score
some runs against Brady Singer.
Speaker 2: So I'll go Philly in that one. There.
Speaker 1: Guys, do not forget to hit that like and subscribe button.
Become part of the wager Talk TV family. As we've
got to get into these World Cup matchups, we'll run
down the whole.
Speaker 2: Major League Baseball slate for you.
Speaker 1: We do have a couple of predictive markets here that
I wanted to run by your carn because I thought
this one is great and we're gonna get to see
both of these guys. And we talked about this market
a couple of weeks ago when both were at the
top certainly of the scoring and the boot and the
ball market. But how about which one of these guys
ends up with more goals? Messi and and Boppe here?
And I mean, let's face it, Messi still hanging around
just over even part, right, so you can still get
a little bit of plus money here with Lionel Messi.
But how about him Bobe thirty seven cents? How about
a tie car at sixteen cents? How many more games
before these two teams, or these two guys would actually
meet one.
Speaker 3: Another, if if everything went right and they were to
make it to the finals, they get to play two
games before that. This is the quarterfinals, which go on
this weekend today tomorrow, and two on Saturday, and then
the semifinals, which they wouldn't meet each other, of course,
they're on opposite ends of the bracket, and then they
would meet in the finals. But I'll tell you this, Joe,
I'm gonna go with Killing and Boppe. Yeah, and I'm
taking I Am going to piss off those guys who
love goats, don't take that the wrong way. People don't
take that the wrong way. I actually believe that number one,
if Argentina get past Switzerland, Switzerland is playing some phenomenal
European type defense. They did it against another South American
team when they shut down, when they shut down. Columbia
last game was nil nil after one hundred and twenty
minutes and it went to penalty kicks, and they want
it there. This team knows how to stifle other players,
how to frustrate them, and how to slow them down.
They just love to win dirty games, dirty ugly games,
and Colombia is the same way, and that's why maybe
that under was the play in that game. But you
look at this one and you normally don't see a
price on Messi as far as a goalscoring prop on
Messi as low or as good priced as it is
right now at books. The total in this game is
a low total.
Speaker 2: Both teams to.
Speaker 3: Score in this game is low. There's a very good chance,
and I did a free play video on it. You'll
have to see how I played that game by going
to wager Talk TV and watching that. But I'll give
you a little cavit of it is that I think
I called for an upset in this game, which means
that if I did, we won't be seeing Lionel Messi
in the semifinals or the finals. See that's and that's
why I did killing and Boppi.
Speaker 1: I agree, especially at thirty seven cents here, But I
think it's fascinating because the predictive markets, if nothing else,
carm it gives you a especially in tournaments like that,
it gives you such a great opportunity to hedge some
of the tickets you might be holding on to for
a future price. It just gives you again because you're
betting the repricing. You're not betting whether Messi or in
Bope actually have more goals. You just are betting the
fact that, yeah, I think we're going to get better
than thirty seven. It's going to go off from thirty
seven percent thirty seven cents.
Speaker 2: If I'm backing in Boppe right now.
Speaker 1: And yeah, like you said, if Messi doesn't make it
out Bope, just forget about it, just put it.
Speaker 2: It's done.
Speaker 1: I mean, think about buying Killing Ambappe in thirty seven
cents in this market. I think it's a And this
isn't the Golden ball, like, we don't have to worry
about Earling Holland or any of these other guys and
Harry Kane to score the most goals in the tournament.
We just need in Boppe to go further than Messi.
And at thirty seven cents, I'm with you, carm I
think that is a great price in a great market.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you're getting if you're going to play it,
you essentially have to play today because you're getting the
best price. So absolutely, on the assumption and we'll just
take on the assumption that France is to win today.
Yes they are favored, but you know morocco Is has
been a solid team as well too. If France win
today and killing Abappe is a big part of that,
picks up a couple of goals at the let's say
picks up a couple of goals, that price is going
to change considerably because Argentina does not play until the
late game and the last of the quarterfinal games Saturday
at nine pm at Arrowhead Stadium. So you could be
on a position of Achillean and Boppi at a great
price and maybe being a Hedgule position, or maybe you
just watch Saturday night's game in cheer for the Swiss.
Speaker 1: And speaking of that, Car, I'll give you one more
market that again, I think is a fantastic market to
be able to hedge out and give you all, I mean,
really kind of middle what you got going on right now,
and that's the furthest advancing European nation. Look at these prices, Car,
because you know, it's interesting when you look at now
how the brackets are setting up. Spain, France, and England
are all on the same side here Norway, right, we
all pretty much on the same side, right.
Speaker 3: Yeah, No, England is on the side with Argentina. Uh, England,
Norway are on the side with Argentina and Switzerland. And
so okay, yeah, so if England were to beat Norway,
yeah yeah, so yeah. So as far as that European yes,
So obviously if you look at it, uh, there are
If France get by today, then we're guaranteed that there's
going to be at least there's gonna be two teams
in the semi finals, and one of them is going
to make it to the finals. Of those ones, I
think France is likely the best one. It comes down
to France and Spain. Let's let's say the hypotheticals are
France and Spain win their games. Now you have to
say to yourself, what is the line or the two
advance on that one? Because the two advances essentially who
makes it the furthest yep. And in this game, France
will be a slight favorite. I have to believe France
would be about minus one forty to advance, Spain would
be about plus one twenty. So you figure that what
that works out to as far as the market goes.
But you're literally getting Spain to advance at essentially like
I would say six to five on your money.
Speaker 1: Yes, And Karmen, that's exactly to my point here. Because
it's the European nations, you're gonna have teams on the
other side. All of this has to reprice, karm It's
none of these these aren't one and out right. So
all of these games and let's face it, England winnable game, right,
very winnable. Yeah, they win this game. France wins there,
Spain wins there. All three of those are going to
readjust correct, All three of them are going to have
to readjust yeah yeah.
Speaker 3: And if the the unlikely but possible upset happens of
Switzerland knocking off Argentina, you now have Switzerland and there
as well too, and they'll be reprice, reprice.
Speaker 2: And again that's the beauty, guys, is we don't need
this that.
Speaker 1: We don't care who goes to furthest We just care
that they win enough games calm to give us an
opportunity for the market, uh to catch up here because
best case scenario, even if I bet France and Spain,
they're both plus money right now. And and your attitude
is one of them is going through. One of them
is going to reprice in a big way, and Spain
or France, whoever survives that battle, still going to be
the favorite.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I have to believe that if those two
teams meet in the semifinals, doesn't matter who they play
in the finals, be it. The two best teams that
they could possibly meet in the final would be England
and then as far as non European teams, Argentina Argentina,
So Argentina they would be favored over either one of
those teams, but the only team, only European team that
they would likely face would be England, Norway or Switzerland,
and they would be favorites over all three of those
teams in the final.
Speaker 1: And this is another one of those markets, carm where
if I'm holding France or Spain in the future market,
England worries me a little bit here, but I can
jump in on England now it's seventeen cents, and like
you said, they're gonna come from the other side, they
are going to be England versus Spain or France.
Speaker 2: Right, what's the line, Carl, what's the line England?
Speaker 3: I would put the line on France almost similar to
what we saw in let's call it twenty eighteen when
the World Cup was played in Russia and France in
that game were minus one eighty on the three way line,
and to hoist the trophy, they were close to about
two to one to hoist the trophy, but two to
one favorite minus one eighty. The take back I think
on Croatia at the time was about plus three fifty
with the draft of about two forty two fifty, if memory
serves me correct. Because I had a lot vested on
that game, so I do remember the lines. I remember
France was minus one eighty or minus a goal on
the on the handicap line, so in Spain. Spain will
likely be a favorite as well too. Let's remember Spain
played France, I sorry, Spain played England in the twenty
twenty four World Cup now World Cup twenty twenty four
euros and beat them in the finals as well too,
So you look at it, there's some recency as far
as the clost two teams meeting. Uh, Spain did win
that game, and I believe going into that there were
uh they weren't a very big favorite. But they're both
minus one thirty minus one forty, I believe.
Speaker 2: Yep, and that's still favor and they're still favorite. So
and here's the deal.
Speaker 1: At seventeen cents com right now, they're a little over
five to one, So if England makes it to the final,
that's goot forty at least forty cents written all over it. So,
I mean, that's my point. So you can give yourself
plenty of opportunities. You don't need to see it actually
come to fruition. You just need England to win enough
games where they're gonna be I mean, I think this
is a ridiculous price, even in five to one, but
I know they win this game, I'm gonna get you know,
I'm gonna be able to get a lot more money.
I'm going to increase my profits on them each way
if they make it to the final. So just a
whole lot of different outs, which is what the predictive
markets is great at providing. We always talk about outs, right,
make sure, especially in tournaments like this, Karm, where it's
about get you know, have some options. Well, if you
don't have a ton of options as far as shopping books,
this is a great option, carm. Right, give yourself a
whole bunch of different ways to be able to cast
some tickets along the way.
Speaker 2: That's what it's all about there with your predictives.
Speaker 1: So all right, carm it is time to look at
present a leotard so we can get to some business here.
By the way, we have heard from pres he is alive.
That's all we know at this point there having signs
of him. We'll see exactly if he comes up breathing
anytime soon.
Speaker 2: We'll keep you posted.
Speaker 1: But he does have a I believe another major League
baseball game up right now. I believe he's two and
oh or three and oh already this week. He just
keeps winning the baseball games from Vegas, cracks me up
and calm for today's match or moving forward. What is
it that you have for the folks over at wager
talk dot com as you continue to cross the World Cup.
Speaker 3: Yeah, press plays, baseball plays are aces Joe which apparently
last night in the main event of the World Series
of Poker, Pres was eliminated holding aces. But he'll talk
about it the next time he is on the show
and explain to you what happened there, guys. I have
one play up for Thursday, which is today, of course
to get up. That's gonna be him for sure, but
it's like I don't want to talk about it. Cut
but yeah, yeah, one play up today, four percent best
bet in the France and Morocco game. I have a
five percent play up for the second quarterfinal to and
then I have one play up for Saturday, and that
is on the England and Norway game. I'm likely not
going to have a selection on the Argentina and Switzerland game,
but if I do, it is going to likely be
on the two advents on Switzerland. I'm not going to
talk about it and tell you guys that I like
it and then not bet it myself. So if I
bet it. I release it to my clients as well too,
even as a small two percent play, but that won't
be available for sale. But the other three plays are.
You can find them over at wager talk dot com,
WT dot buzz, backslash CB.
Speaker 2: Awesome stuff there.
Speaker 1: Calm also, I am locked and loaded in Major League Baseball.
Here tonight, I have a four percent best bet up
and available. I also have the one of the plays
tonight in the NBA Summer League. I love the NBA
Summer League because it's such a sleepy market.
Speaker 2: The lines are terribly soft.
Speaker 1: By the time the books adjust and the market adjusts,
it's it's usually the tournament is over and we're able
to cash a whole bunch of tickets. And Carmen and
I have been telling you for how long now this
is all about everything we do this time of year
is about padding it. Karm for football season, pad that
bankroll for football season.
Speaker 2: And there are some.
Speaker 1: You know, the World Cup and the NBA Summer League
and Major League, but there's a lot of different ways
deep into that bank roll or football season. Summer League
is definitely one of them too. So you can head
over to my pagewager Talk dot com or even carm
that entire you know, six by three, get three the
Summer Special right now for sixty nine dollars, you get
six days of all access, every play, every sport. That's
a great way to take advantage of it. Also, all
of that is available at both cars and Mind page
over at wager talk dot com. All right, carm, I
am gonna rattle off some of these Major League Baseball games,
a lot of day games, and then we're gonna go
into the World Cup rundown. You can talk about today's game,
to Mars game, whatever the hell games that are left
on the board that you want to talk about. We
can go ahead, you can do that. In the meantime,
we're gonna get it going here a lot of afternoon baseball.
Nobody cares if the Mets or the Royals win at
this point Elder and Keller for the Braves and Pirates,
that game is probably gonna see a few runs. The
Rays are sending out Rasmussen taking on Blackburn of the
Yankees have just thrown the talent.
Speaker 2: Who we kidding here?
Speaker 1: Cubs and Orios Peterson taking on Rogers. The Orioles fell
short again yesterday, But I do think the Orioles don't
and avoid the sweep here and get this one today.
Speaker 2: Guardians at the Twins.
Speaker 1: Bailey Ober is back for the Twins, going up against
Gavin Williams Twins, though on the verge of sweeping. The
Guardians don't think it happens, though Gavin Williams for me
Red Sox. White soxmember Patrick Sandoval, former Angel, hasn't seen
the field in what close to two years after Tommy
John surgery. Like what not good before Tommy John surgery.
I doubt he's any good after Tommy John surgery. But
the White Sox continue to not be able to hit lefties,
and guess what he is a lefty.
Speaker 2: So I'll take the under in that one. There.
Speaker 1: Tigers looking to get it done, Framber Valdez, You're getting
beat up pretty good here against the Athletics. I do
think runs are coming in that one. Marlin's looking for
to sweep over the Mariners. I don't think they're gonna
get it with something named junk on the mound, but
Bryce Miller should be able to get it.
Speaker 2: Done for the Mariners.
Speaker 1: Reds taken on the Phillies and I told you already
I like Luzardo and the Phillies to come back here.
I think of Brewers take three or four from the Cardinals.
I also I think the Rangers bounce back in a
vaulting on the mound versus debt Mers Padres should handle
business against the Diamondbacks, and the Rockies are at oracle
taken on the Giants. I'm gonna go with the under
in that one there, Karm, And now the moment of truth. Karm,
you I've got a World Cup rundown, my friend, go
anywhere you want.
Speaker 2: It is all yours.
Speaker 3: All right, Let's see if we can keep this role going.
Fifty five over fifty five units of profit and what
where do we have left? Seven games left? Eight if
you include the dumb third place game that they have.
I have no re idea why they even hold that game.
With that said, let's start with today's game. We're gonna
go through all four games, friends and Morocco. I'm going
to take the usman den belly prop anytime goal plus
one seventy five and this one. Hopefully it's an entertaining
game and not one of those snooze fests. That is
nil nil. Spain and Belgium tomorrow that shouldn't be a
snooze fest. Over two and a half goals minus one
twenty in that one England game, first game on Saturday,
both teams to score and over two and a half.
You can take that over at your book. It's offered
as a match parlay. Or you can combine the two
both teams to score and over two and a half
and you end up with minus one oh five odds.
I believe both find the back of the net early
in Holland Harry Kane. These guys are vying for that
trophy and they're going to want to score some goals.
And then finally we're going to end it with a
bit of a shocker on Saturday night and take the
Swiss to win it to advance plus two forty. That
includes ninety minutes, thirty minutes of extra time and penalty
kicks should it be needed. The Swiss to advance plus
two forty as they shut down Lino mess and send
Argentina the last South American team home. They sent the
second last team home, Columbia. They're about to send the
last team home. We will see on the next on
Monday show if that comes to fruition or not.
Speaker 1: I love it, carm pulling out the dogs. Let them bark, baby,
let them bar. It is always usually at this point
in the World Cup anyway, one or two where you go, wow,
that was impressive there, all right, Carm, So to leave
the good people here today because they've been fantastic. We'll
give you guys one more of our favorite looks of
the day here today. And Carl, if you have a
I know there's a yellow card prop somewhere in your future.
Do not, I mean, you did so damn well with
it last time. Do not tell me you don't have
one ready to go here today. But I'm gonna take
you guys to the NBA Summer League here and we
are going to take a look. I really like and
I think this game. Let me just make sure it
doesn't start. I don't, but it does not, but we
should be good to go. I love that Dallas is
getting four and a half almost five points here against
Golden State. I love Dallas, love this team, love the
makeup that they have right now at this summer league
here taking on Golden State, who I think Dallas is
going to be able to go up tempo. I think
Dallas is also going to have their way when it's
all said and done from a physicality standpoint, and I
do not believe that Golden States and what they have
going on right now.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't like them.
Speaker 1: I think Dallas gets it done. Looking forward to that.
And by the way, you're going to see the former
Michigan teammates there. I believe Morez Johnson Junior and Londenborg
are going to be battling in that one there. And
that's a lot of size and a lot of strength.
Speaker 2: Love it. I think this is going to be a
whole lot of fun.
Speaker 1: Give me Dallas and the Points as the dog here
today in the Summer League. And how about you, carm
what's that yellow card we're going with?
Speaker 3: No, I'm gonna skip the yellow card joke because some
books in the US to do not allow for the
cards because they call it a negative bet, a bet
that can be influenced by the player or the official,
so they don't offer it. I know Michigan and Ohio
or two of them that don't. DKAY doesn't allow it.
I'm pretty sure it's across many of the states. I
will do this one though. We saw the French official yesterday.
Give Lino MESSI a nice penalty kick opportunity. He missed it.
Maybe the Argentinian referee today will give friends likewise a penalty.
I ain't going to take France to score a penalty
to be awarded and score the penalty plus four twenty five.
Wow plus for twenty five killing a boppy getting a
penalty kick goal plus four twenty five.
Speaker 1: Love love love that. All right, that's what I'm talking about,
car Plus. We're both taking some dogs here today. And
by the way, Dallas on the on the mL two
against Golden State. All right, there, you got it here, guys.
We've got plenty of actions still to go. Do not
forget visit KARMS page over at wager talk dot com,
wt dot buzz forward slash CB, slash JR for me.
Head over there, guys. We are locked and loaded, ready
to roll again. Major League Baseball up locked, as is
the NBA Summer League. Krm's got you all set with
the World Cup. No reason for you, guys not to
take advantage of that. Buy three, get three six days.
Guys have all access for one price. That's the way
to do it. As we head into CAR I can't
believe it. We're just month away, a month away from
college and NFL being top of mind and getting ready.
Speaker 2: Unreal.
Speaker 1: Are you zero back tomorrow? I know, I can't believe it.
Part back tomorrow, guys. We will see you then. Best
of luck with the players, cash the tickets. We'll see
again on the best betting show ever